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Arms Race

  • Jun 12, 2024



Throughout history, mankind has been consumed by the relentless pursuit of superior weaponry, rooted in the primal urge to dominate and overpower others. This insatiable quest has evolved, evolving from crude sticks and stones wielded in ancient conflicts to sophisticated arsenals capable of wreaking unparalleled devastation. The driving force behind this evolution has been the innate human desire to outmatch adversaries, to strike from greater distances with deadlier precision.


The progression from bows and arrows to firearms, from catapults hurling rocks and disease-ridden dead animal carcasses into seized castles and fortified encampments to the strategic use of artillery, exemplifies this relentless march towards technological supremacy. However, it was the emergence of internal combustion engines fuelled by oil in the early 20th century, followed by the invention of jet propulsion that truly catapulted the world into a new era of warfare driven by cutting-edge technology.


The tumultuous chapters of the two World Wars and the subsequent Cold War witnessed the unprecedented development of weaponry that surpassed even the wildest imaginations rivalled only by reminiscent mythical tales. These global conflicts not only reshaped the geopolitical landscape but also propelled humanity into an era where the arms race between nations was fuelled by innovation and technological prowess.


Superior technology and the accumulated wealth of nations have been the drivers of an arms race in the last century.


Western nations excelled in these aspects, outpacing competitors. By the century's end, the Soviet Union lagged due to its technological access but inability to match the West's continuous investment in weapon development. However, the landscape shifted post-2010, witnessing a rise in nations accessing superior technology while making economic strides. Leading this charge was China, boasting the world's second-largest GDP after the United States and significantly bolstering its military capabilities. Over the past fifteen years, China consistently ranks as the third most powerful military globally in the Global Fire Power Index.


Notably, ten of the top fifteen economically prosperous nations in GDP in 2023 also figure in the Global Power Index of the top fifteen militarily powerful nations. This correlation underscores the tendency for financially robust countries to allocate substantial resources to their military endeavours, perpetuating the arms race. Nevertheless, exceptions exist. Nations like Pakistan, Iran, and Egypt, while ranking among the top fifteen globally in military strength, don't feature among the top twenty in terms of GDP. This divergence highlights a deliberate choice by certain countries to prioritize military investment despite lower economic standings. This echoes the Soviet Union's strategy in the 20th century, where despite economic constraints; it heavily invested in maintaining military superiority against the United States and Western European nations.


How long these countries will be able to sustain their Global Firepower rankings without economic progress is anybodys guess.


It's crucial to grasp another issue that exacerbates geopolitical tensions: the inclination of certain nations to outpace others in acquiring advanced weaponry, ultimately deepening existing fault lines. A prime example of this dynamic is evident in China's trajectory. With its emergence as an economic juggernaut in the 21st century, China has increasingly asserted its influence in its vicinity. This assertion includes territorial claims not only on neighbouring lands but also on vast bodies of water like the South China Sea and the East China Sea. Consequently, these actions have precipitated the formation of new fault lines, leading to the emergence of new power blocs.


The desire of nations to expand their military capabilities often results in the diversion of funds away from critical developmental projects, which are supposed to address fundamental human needs such as food, water, and shelter. However many experts feel that arms races also add to the economy of countries by creating more jobs in arms factories and the military.


While that may be true, many countries engage in the pursuit of importing technologically superior arms while neglecting to develop their own indigenous arms industries. This lack of foresight exposes them to economic vulnerabilities. Moreover, these nations become susceptible to external interference from powerful interest groups, comprised of arms industries and middlemen. These groups prioritize profit over stability, often exacerbating internal conflicts and instigating violence to bolster weapon sales.


As a consequence, countries caught in this cycle of manipulation find themselves mired in perpetual bloodshed, while their citizens endure the deprivation of necessities like security, sustenance, and shelter.


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